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Stal Rzeszow vs Wisla Krakow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 31 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 18:15

Stal Rzeszow

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wisla Krakow

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-18.8%0-28.2%0-35.1%0-4+3.7%1 1-05.6%1-110.4%1-29.8%1-36.1%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.3%2-16.2%2-25.8%2-33.6%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.3%3-12.5%3-22.3%3-31.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% 25.0% 4.00 -10.0%

Draw 25.7% 26.3% 3.80 -2.3%

Away win 51.8% 59.9% 1.67 -13.5%

Over 2.5 59.0% 63.7% 1.57 -7.4%

Over 3.5 36.6% 42.0% 2.38 -12.9%

BTTS 60.4% 64.5% 1.55 -6.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob60.4%

A 52% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2✓ 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.2%

#4 0–1 8.8%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stal Rzeszow1.2

Wisla Krakow1.9

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STAL RZESZOW · PPG 1.47

WISLA KRAKOW · PPG 1.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.47) vs Away GOOD (1.79)

Win probability 1X2

Stal Rzeszow (H) 22.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -10.0%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -2.3%

Wisla Krakow (A) 51.8%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -13.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stal Rzeszow face Wisla Krakow in Poland - I Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stal Rzeszow a 23% chance, the draw 26% and Wisla Krakow 52%, so Wisla Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stal Rzeszow and 1.9 for Wisla Krakow (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stal Rzeszow are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.79 for Wisla Krakow. This match finished 1-2.

Stal Rzeszow vs Wisla Krakow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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