Stal Rzeszow vs Wisla Krakow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 31 Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie· Rzeszow Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:15

Stal Rzeszow PPG 1.47

1-2 HIT CS2

Wisla Krakow PPG 1.79

Draw· -2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stal Rzeszow face Wisla Krakow in Poland - I Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stal Rzeszow a 23% chance, the draw 26% and Wisla Krakow 52%, so Wisla Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stal Rzeszow and 1.9 for Wisla Krakow (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stal Rzeszow are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.79 for Wisla Krakow. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.5%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -10.0%

Draw 25.7%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -2.3%

Away 51.8%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -13.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.57 -7.4%

Over 3.5 36.6% Odds: 2.38 -12.9%

BTTS 60.4% Odds: 1.55 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✔

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Stal Rzeszow

1.19

Wisla Krakow

1.87

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.47) vs Away GOOD (1.79)