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Portugal - Primeira Liga Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:00 
Sporting Braga PPG 1.87 
Estoril PPG 0.93
Portugal - Primeira Liga Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:00 Sporting Braga PPG 1.871-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Estoril PPG 0.93Over3.5· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.8% Odds: 1.62 +3.4%
Over 3.5 41.6% Odds: 2.55 +6.1%
BTTS 62.6% Odds: 1.60 +0.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Braga 2.09
Estoril 1.20
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +3.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+6.1%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+6.1%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=56.4%