Trencin vs Komarno Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Slovakia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 8 Sunday, May 3, 2026 15:00

Trencin PPG 1.21

1-2 MISS

Komarno PPG 0.93

Draw· +5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trencin face Komarno in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trencin a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Komarno 33%, so Trencin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Trencin and 1.2 for Komarno (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trencin are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 0.93 for Komarno. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.7%

Odds: 2.74 EV: -2.2%

Draw 31.5%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +5.5%

Away 32.9%

Odds: 2.34 EV: -23.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.4% Odds: 2.00 -13.2%

Over 3.5 22.4% Odds: 3.60 -19.4%

BTTS 51.1% Odds: 1.77 -9.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Trencin

1.24

Komarno

1.18

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 62%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 22.4%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away POOR (0.93)