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Grasshopper vs Servette Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Relegation Group · Matchday 35 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 14:30

Grasshopper

PPG 0.82 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Servette

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 67% chance

Model probability 69.0% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.8%0-25.4%0-33.4%0-4+2.4%1 1-05.0%1-19.3%1-28.7%1-35.4%1-4+3.9%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.1%3-14.0%3-23.7%3-32.3%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% 33.3% 3.00 -3.7%

Draw 25.0% 28.2% 3.55 -11.3%

Away win 43.0% 45.5% 2.20 -5.4%

Over 2.5 67.5% 59.9% 1.67 +12.7%

Over 3.5 45.8% 38.2% 2.62 +20.0%

BTTS 69.0% 65.4% 1.53 +5.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -5.5%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.0%

A 43% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grasshopper1.6

Servette1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GRASSHOPPER · PPG 0.82

SERVETTE · PPG 1.13

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

67%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.82) vs Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Grasshopper (H) 32.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.7%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -11.3%

Servette (A) 43.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -5.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Grasshopper face Servette in Switzerland - Super League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grasshopper a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Servette 43%, so Servette are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Grasshopper and 1.9 for Servette (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grasshopper are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.13 for Servette. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +20.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Grasshopper vs Servette Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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