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Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Wilhelmshaven

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Spelle-Venhaus

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.9%0-24.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.5%1-110.4%1-27.3%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.9%3-15.4%3-23.8%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.5%4+-22.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 29.2% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 38.9% — — —

BTTS 64.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.0%

H 44% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–0✓ 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wilhelmshaven1.8

Spelle-Venhaus1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

WILHELMSHAVEN · PPG 1.62

SPELLE-VENHAUS · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Wilhelmshaven (H) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spelle-Venhaus (A) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wilhelmshaven face Spelle-Venhaus in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wilhelmshaven a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Spelle-Venhaus 29%, so Wilhelmshaven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wilhelmshaven and 1.4 for Spelle-Venhaus (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wilhelmshaven are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.46 for Spelle-Venhaus. This match finished 2-0.

Wilhelmshaven vs Spelle-Venhaus Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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