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Meppen B vs Bersenbruck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Meppen B

PPG 1.83 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bersenbruck

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-14.4%0-23.5%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.7%1-18.9%1-26.9%1-33.6%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.9%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.8%3-15.9%3-24.6%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.7%4+-23.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.7% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 69.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.6% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob69.6%

H 47% / xG 2.0-1.6 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meppen B2.0

Bersenbruck1.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MEPPEN B · PPG 1.83

BERSENBRUCK · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Meppen B (H) 46.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bersenbruck (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meppen B face Bersenbruck in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meppen B a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Bersenbruck 29%, so Meppen B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Meppen B and 1.6 for Bersenbruck (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meppen B are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.46 for Bersenbruck. This match finished 5-1.

Meppen B vs Bersenbruck Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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