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Holthausen-Bien vs LSK Hansa Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Holthausen-Bien

PPG 0.82 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

LSK Hansa

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.3%0-25.6%0-34.0%0-4+3.4%1 1-03.9%1-18.3%1-28.8%1-36.2%1-4+5.4%2 2-03.1%2-16.5%2-26.9%2-34.9%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.6%3-13.4%3-23.6%3-32.6%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.9%4+-22.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 49.2% — — —

Over 2.5 71.2% — — —

Over 3.5 50.3% — — —

BTTS 70.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob70.9%

A 49% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3✓ 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holthausen-Bien1.6

LSK Hansa2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.2% · O3.5 PROB 50.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLTHAUSEN-BIEN · PPG 0.82

LSK HANSA · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.82) vs Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Holthausen-Bien (H) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

LSK Hansa (A) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holthausen-Bien face LSK Hansa in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holthausen-Bien a 27% chance, the draw 23% and LSK Hansa 49%, so LSK Hansa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Holthausen-Bien and 2.1 for LSK Hansa (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holthausen-Bien are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.17 for LSK Hansa. This match finished 1-3.

Holthausen-Bien vs LSK Hansa Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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