Today / Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen / Hildesheim vs Lupo-Martini

Hildesheim vs Lupo-Martini Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Hildesheim

PPG 2.08 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lupo-Martini

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-12.6%0-21.6%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.9%1-16.9%1-24.1%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.7%2-19.1%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.7%3-17.9%3-24.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-08.3%4+-19.7%4+-25.7%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.2% — — —

Draw 18.8% — — —

Away win 14.0% — — —

Over 2.5 73.1% — — —

Over 3.5 52.6% — — —

BTTS 65.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob65.2%

H 67% / xG 2.6-1.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 3–1 7.9%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 3–0✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hildesheim2.6

Lupo-Martini1.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.1% · O3.5 PROB 52.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HILDESHEIM · PPG 2.08

LUPO-MARTINI · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.08), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hildesheim (H) 67.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lupo-Martini (A) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hildesheim face Lupo-Martini in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hildesheim a 67% chance, the draw 19% and Lupo-Martini 14%, so Hildesheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Hildesheim and 1.2 for Lupo-Martini (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hildesheim are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 0.38 for Lupo-Martini. This match finished 3-0.

Hildesheim vs Lupo-Martini Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen Predictions