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Heeslinger SC vs Wolfenbuttel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Heeslinger SC

PPG 2.08 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wolfenbuttel

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.6%0-21.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.9%1-14.7%1-23.9%1-32.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-04.4%2-17.1%2-25.8%2-33.2%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.4%3-17.1%3-25.8%3-33.2%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-111.3%4+-29.2%4+-35.0%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.8% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 17.9% — — —

Over 2.5 84.2% — — —

Over 3.5 68.1% — — —

BTTS 77.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob77.2%

H 65% / xG 3.0-1.6 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 77%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 7.1%

#3 3–2 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 1–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Heeslinger SC3.0

Wolfenbuttel1.6

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 84.2% · O3.5 PROB 68.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HEESLINGER SC · PPG 2.08

WOLFENBUTTEL · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs P(Home)=64.8%

Win probability 1X2

Heeslinger SC (H) 64.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wolfenbuttel (A) 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Heeslinger SC face Wolfenbuttel in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heeslinger SC a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Wolfenbuttel 18%, so Heeslinger SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Heeslinger SC and 1.6 for Wolfenbuttel (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heeslinger SC are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.15 for Wolfenbuttel. This match finished 1-2.

Heeslinger SC vs Wolfenbuttel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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