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Kuchl vs Saalfelden Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:30

Kuchl

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Saalfelden

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=61.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-14.8%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.2%1-19.7%1-24.7%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.1%3-16.8%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-15.5%4+-22.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.0% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 15.4% — — —

Over 2.5 57.7% — — —

Over 3.5 35.3% — — —

BTTS 55.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.1%

H 61% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0✓ 10.2%

#5 3–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kuchl2.0

Saalfelden1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.7% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KUCHL · PPG 2.00

SAALFELDEN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=61.0%

Win probability 1X2

Kuchl (H) 61.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Saalfelden (A) 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kuchl face Saalfelden in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kuchl a 61% chance, the draw 24% and Saalfelden 15%, so Kuchl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Kuchl and 1.0 for Saalfelden (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kuchl are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Saalfelden. This match finished 1-0.

Kuchl vs Saalfelden Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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