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Netherlands - Eredivisie Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:30 
PEC Zwolle PPG 1.67 
Heracles Almelo PPG 0.27
Netherlands - Eredivisie Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:30 PEC Zwolle PPG 1.671-0 MISS
Heracles Almelo PPG 0.27Away· +25.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 68.7% Odds: 1.48 +1.7%
Over 3.5 47.3% Odds: 2.20 +4.1%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.60 +6.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle 2.22
Heracles Almelo 1.32
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +1.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Away(+25.4%)
Raw EV leader: Away(+25.4%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=56.4%