Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 32 Fortuna Sittard Stadion· Sittard Sunday, May 3, 2026 12:30

Fortuna Sittard PPG 1.47

1-2 HIT CS2

Feyenoord PPG 1.53

Home· +56.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Fortuna Sittard face Feyenoord in Netherlands - Eredivisie on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fortuna Sittard a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Feyenoord 47%, so Feyenoord are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.9 for Feyenoord (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fortuna Sittard are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.53 for Feyenoord. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +56.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.5%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +56.8%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 4.65 EV: +15.3%

Away 46.7%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -30.9%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.6% Odds: 1.50 -0.1%

Over 3.5 44.8% Odds: 2.25 +0.8%

BTTS 67.8% Odds: 1.60 +8.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Sittard

1.50

Feyenoord

1.94

Model SuggestionBTTS +8.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+56.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away GOOD (1.53)