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St. Gallen vs Sion Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Championship Group - 35 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:00

St. Gallen

PPG 1.88 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sion

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.2%0-24.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.8%1-111.5%1-27.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.1%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.7%3-14.9%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% 43.5% 2.30 -2.0%

Draw 27.9% 27.8% 3.60 +0.4%

Away win 29.5% 35.7% 2.80 -17.4%

Over 2.5 55.3% 62.5% 1.60 -11.5%

Over 3.5 32.9% 40.8% 2.45 -19.4%

BTTS 59.7% 67.6% 1.48 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.7%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 0–0 5.5%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Gallen1.6

Sion1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. GALLEN · PPG 1.88

SION · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

St. Gallen (H) 42.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -2.0%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.4%

Sion (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Gallen face Sion in Switzerland - Super League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Gallen a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Sion 30%, so St. Gallen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for St. Gallen and 1.3 for Sion (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Gallen are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.47 for Sion. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.4%. This match finished 0-3.

St. Gallen vs Sion Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - Super League Predictions