Today / Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga / Bochum W vs Stuttgart W

Bochum W vs Stuttgart W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 12:00

Bochum W logo
Bochum W
PPG 1.00 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Stuttgart W logo
Stuttgart W
PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-16.2%0-26.9%0-35.2%0-4+5.0%1 1-03.7%1-18.3%1-29.3%1-37.0%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.5%2-15.6%2-26.3%2-34.7%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.1%3-12.5%3-22.8%3-32.1%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.0%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 56.6%
Over 2.5 69.7%
Over 3.5 48.5%
BTTS 67.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 46%
Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob67.5%

A 57% / xG 1.3-2.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 1–3 7.0%
#4 0–2 6.9%
#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bochum W1.3
Stuttgart W2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.7% · O3.5 PROB 48.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BOCHUM W · PPG 1.00

STUTTGART W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Bochum W (H) 21.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Stuttgart W (A) 56.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bochum W face Stuttgart W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bochum W a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Stuttgart W 57%, so Stuttgart W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bochum W and 2.3 for Stuttgart W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bochum W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Stuttgart W. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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