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Meppen W vs Bochum W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

Meppen W

PPG 2.08 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bochum W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.6%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.0%1-18.3%1-24.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.4%2-19.7%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.3%3-17.6%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.4%4+-17.6%4+-24.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.6% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 21.6% — — —

Over 2.5 62.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob59.7%

H 56% / xG 2.3-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 9.7%

#2 1–1 8.3%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meppen W2.3

Bochum W1.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MEPPEN W · PPG 2.08

BOCHUM W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.08) > Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Meppen W (H) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bochum W (A) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meppen W face Bochum W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meppen W a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Bochum W 22%, so Meppen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Meppen W and 1.0 for Bochum W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meppen W are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.75 for Bochum W. This match finished 2-1.

Meppen W vs Bochum W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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