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Stuttgart W vs Wolfsburg B W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:00

Stuttgart W

PPG 2.42 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Wolfsburg B W

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.2%0-20.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-11.0%1-20.6%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-02.0%2-12.5%2-21.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-14.5%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-021.1%4+-127.3%4+-217.7%4+-37.6%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.8% — — —

Draw 17.3% — — —

Away win 7.8% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 89.2% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)5.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.0%

H 75% / xG 5.3-1.3 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 6.2%

#2 4–1✓ 5.9%

#3 5–0 4.8%

#4 4–0 4.5%

#5 3–1 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stuttgart W5.3

Wolfsburg B W1.3

COMBINED 6.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 89.2%

Form & verdict PPG

STUTTGART W · PPG 2.42

WOLFSBURG B W · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.42), Away AVERAGE (1.08) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Stuttgart W (H) 74.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wolfsburg B W (A) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stuttgart W face Wolfsburg B W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stuttgart W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Wolfsburg B W 8%, so Stuttgart W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.3 for Stuttgart W and 1.3 for Wolfsburg B W (6.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stuttgart W are averaging 2.42 points per game versus 1.08 for Wolfsburg B W. This match finished 4-1.

Stuttgart W vs Wolfsburg B W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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