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Sand W vs Stuttgart W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

Sand W

PPG 2.58 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stuttgart W

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.5%0-23.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.9%1-18.6%1-27.5%1-34.4%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.2%2-27.2%2-34.2%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.0%3-15.2%3-24.6%3-32.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.9%4+-23.4%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.2% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 49.9% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.9%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2✓ 7.2%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sand W1.9

Stuttgart W1.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SAND W · PPG 2.58

STUTTGART W · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.58) > Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Win probability 1X2

Sand W (H) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stuttgart W (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sand W face Stuttgart W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sand W a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Stuttgart W 35%, so Sand W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Sand W and 1.8 for Stuttgart W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sand W are averaging 2.58 points per game versus 2.08 for Stuttgart W. This match finished 2-2.

Sand W vs Stuttgart W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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