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T. Potsdam W vs Viktoria B. W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

T. Potsdam W

PPG 1.58 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Viktoria B. W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-19.9%0-29.1%0-35.5%0-4+3.8%1 1-05.9%1-110.8%1-29.8%1-36.0%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.2%2-15.8%2-25.3%2-33.3%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.2%3-12.1%3-21.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.8% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 49.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.6%

A 49% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2✓ 9.1%

#4 0–1 9.9%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Potsdam W1.1

Viktoria B. W1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.3%

Form & verdict PPG

T. POTSDAM W · PPG 1.58

VIKTORIA B. W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

T. Potsdam W (H) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Viktoria B. W (A) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Potsdam W face Viktoria B. W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Potsdam W a 25% chance, the draw 26% and Viktoria B. W 49%, so Viktoria B. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for T. Potsdam W and 1.8 for Viktoria B. W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Potsdam W are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.75 for Viktoria B. W. This match finished 0-2.

T. Potsdam W vs Viktoria B. W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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