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Gernika vs Alaves B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Gernika

PPG 1.69 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Alaves B

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-115.8%0-28.5%0-33.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.4%1-113.3%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.2%2-15.6%2-23.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.5%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.2% — — —

Draw 35.4% — — —

Away win 38.5% — — —

Over 2.5 30.0% — — —

Over 3.5 12.8% — — —

BTTS 39.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob39.5%

A 38% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.7%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.8%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gernika0.8

Alaves B1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GERNIKA · PPG 1.69

ALAVES B · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.88)

Win probability 1X2

Gernika (H) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alaves B (A) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gernika face Alaves B in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gernika a 26% chance, the draw 35% and Alaves B 39%, so Alaves B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gernika and 1.1 for Alaves B (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gernika are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.88 for Alaves B. This match finished 0-0.

Gernika vs Alaves B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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