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Meppen W vs Ingolstadt W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 09:00

Meppen W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ingolstadt W

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.5%0-22.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.1%1-18.1%1-25.4%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.0%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.3%3-17.1%3-24.8%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-17.0%4+-24.7%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.7% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 70.3% — — —

Over 3.5 49.2% — — —

BTTS 67.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob67.6%

H 58% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–1 7.1%

#4 2–0 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meppen W2.3

Ingolstadt W1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.3% · O3.5 PROB 49.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MEPPEN W · PPG 2.00

INGOLSTADT W · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.73)

Win probability 1X2

Meppen W (H) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ingolstadt W (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meppen W face Ingolstadt W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meppen W a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Ingolstadt W 20%, so Meppen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Meppen W and 1.3 for Ingolstadt W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meppen W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.73 for Ingolstadt W. This match finished 3-2.

Meppen W vs Ingolstadt W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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