Miedz Legnica vs Stal Mielec Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 31 Stadion im. Orła Białego· Legnica Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:30

Miedz Legnica PPG 2.00

1-0 MISS

Stal Mielec PPG 0.93

BTTS· +2.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Miedz Legnica face Stal Mielec in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Miedz Legnica a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Stal Mielec 25%, so Miedz Legnica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Miedz Legnica and 1.4 for Stal Mielec (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Miedz Legnica are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.93 for Stal Mielec. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.3%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -10.2%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -14.9%

Away 24.5%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -6.9%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 44.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 66.2% Odds: 1.55 +2.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Miedz Legnica

2.02

Stal Mielec

1.37

Model SuggestionBTTS +2.6% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.3%