Winterthur vs FC Zurich Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Switzerland - Super League Relegation Group - 35 Stadion Schützenwiese· Winterthur Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:00

Winterthur PPG 0.63

2-2 HIT CS4

FC Zurich PPG 0.88

Away· -0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Winterthur face FC Zurich in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Winterthur a 32% chance, the draw 25% and FC Zurich 43%, so FC Zurich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Winterthur and 1.8 for FC Zurich (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Winterthur are averaging 0.63 points per game versus 0.88 for FC Zurich. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.1%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -15.9%

Draw 25.2%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -3.0%

Away 42.6%

Odds: 2.33 EV: -0.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.5% Odds: 1.48 -1.6%

Over 3.5 44.7% Odds: 2.15 -3.9%

BTTS 68.3% Odds: 1.40 -4.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Winterthur

1.59

FC Zurich

1.84

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.63), Away POOR (0.88)