Lausanne Sport vs Luzern Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Switzerland - Super League Relegation Group - 35 Stade de la Tuiliere· Lausanne Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:00

Lausanne Sport PPG 1.35

1-3 MISS

Luzern PPG 1.47

Over2.5· -3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne Sport face Luzern in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne Sport a 38% chance, the draw 25% and Luzern 37%, so Lausanne Sport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lausanne Sport and 1.7 for Luzern (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne Sport are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.47 for Luzern. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -10.0%

Draw 25.0%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -5.0%

Away 36.7%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -3.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.0% Odds: 1.42 -3.4%

Over 3.5 46.5% Odds: 2.00 -7.0%

BTTS 69.7% Odds: 1.35 -5.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lausanne Sport

1.77

Luzern

1.73

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.35), Away AVERAGE (1.47)