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S. Bratislava vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group - 8 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 18:30

S. Bratislava

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

DAC Streda

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.1%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.1%1-111.2%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.4%3-14.7%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% 55.2% 1.81 -26.7%

Draw 27.7% 31.7% 3.15 -12.7%

Away win 31.8% 22.0% 4.55 +44.7%

Over 2.5 57.2% 58.8% 1.70 -2.8%

Over 3.5 34.8% 38.2% 2.62 -8.8%

BTTS 61.4% 63.7% 1.57 -3.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.4%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Bratislava1.6

DAC Streda1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.2% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

S. BRATISLAVA · PPG 2.00

DAC STREDA · PPG 1.79

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.79)

Win probability 1X2

S. Bratislava (H) 40.5%

ODDS 1.81 · IMPLIED 55.2% EV -26.7%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -12.7%

DAC Streda (A) 31.8%

ODDS 4.55 · IMPLIED 22.0% EV +44.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Bratislava face DAC Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Bratislava a 41% chance, the draw 28% and DAC Streda 32%, so S. Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for S. Bratislava and 1.4 for DAC Streda (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Bratislava are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.79 for DAC Streda. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +44.7%. This match finished 1-0.

S. Bratislava vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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