Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / S. Bratislava vs DAC Streda

S. Bratislava vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group · Matchday 8 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 18:30

S. Bratislava logo
S. Bratislava
PPG 2.00 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWWL
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
DAC Streda logo
DAC Streda
PPG 1.79 · AWAY
LAST 5
LWLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.1%0-24.9%0-32.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.1%1-111.2%1-27.8%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.9%2-26.2%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.4%3-14.7%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.5% 55.2% 1.81 -26.7%
Draw 27.7% 31.7% 3.15 -12.7%
Away win 31.8% 22.0% 4.55 +44.7%
Over 2.5 57.2% 58.8% 1.70 -2.8%
Over 3.5 34.8% 38.2% 2.62 -8.8%
BTTS 61.4% 63.7% 1.57 -3.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 35%
ROI 32.6%
Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.4%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 2–1 8.9%
#3 1–2 7.8%
#4 0–0 5.1%
#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

S. Bratislava1.6
DAC Streda1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.2% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

S. BRATISLAVA · PPG 2.00

DAC STREDA · PPG 1.79

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
Chance this pick lands
63%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.79)

Win probability 1X2

S. Bratislava (H) 40.5%
ODDS 1.81 · IMPLIED 55.2% EV -26.7%
Draw 27.7%
ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -12.7%
DAC Streda (A) 31.8%
ODDS 4.55 · IMPLIED 22.0% EV +44.7%

Season Statistics average per match · 18 matches · 2025

S. Bratislava ▾ lower is better DAC Streda

Attack

13.2
Shots
15.8
4.3
Shots on target
5.1
5.1
Shots off target
6.9
3.7
Blocked shots
3.7
8.3
Shots inside box
10.1
4.9
Shots outside box
5.7
32.9%
Shooting accuracy
32.3%
46.2%
Goals per shot on target
29.9%
2.00
Goals
1.53
1.55
xG for 18·14 of 18
1.78

Defence

12.6
Shots faced
11.9
3.8
Shots on target faced
4.2
1.06
Goals conceded
1.05
1.38
xG against 18·14 of 18
1.44
2.7
Goalkeeper saves
3.2

Control

58.8%
Possession
53.4%
503
Passes
404
422
Accurate passes
328
83.9%
Pass accuracy
81.1%
4.9
Corners
4.7
4.1
Corners faced
4.6
1.7
Offsides
1.3

Discipline

11.6
Fouls
12.9
2.3
Yellow cards
1.7
0.06
Red cards
0.16

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Bratislava face DAC Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Bratislava a 41% chance, the draw 28% and DAC Streda 32%, so S. Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for S. Bratislava and 1.4 for DAC Streda (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Bratislava are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.79 for DAC Streda. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +44.7%. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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