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Imst vs Kitzbuhel Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Imst

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kitzbuhel

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.6%0-23.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.7%1-110.5%1-26.3%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.0%3-16.0%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.3%4+-22.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.7%

H 51% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0✓ 8.0%

#4 1–0 8.7%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Imst1.9

Kitzbuhel1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

IMST · PPG 1.75

KITZBUHEL · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Imst (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kitzbuhel (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Imst face Kitzbuhel in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Imst a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Kitzbuhel 23%, so Imst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Imst and 1.2 for Kitzbuhel (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Imst are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.33 for Kitzbuhel. This match finished 2-0.

Imst vs Kitzbuhel Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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