← Back to picks
Portugal - Primeira Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 32 Estádio Municipal de Arouca· Arouca Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:30
Arouca logo Arouca PPG 1.40
2-2 MISS
Santa Clara logo Santa Clara PPG 0.80
Over3.5· +16.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.4%
Odds: 2.86 EV: +7.0%
Draw 30.0%
Odds: 2.92 EV: -12.4%
Away 32.7%
Odds: 2.64 EV: -13.7%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 2.35 +14.4%
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 4.33 +16.5%
BTTS 55.1% Odds: 1.91 +5.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca
1.36
Santa Clara
1.26

Model Suggestion

BTTS +5.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+16.5%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org