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Schwaz vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Schwaz

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.6%0-22.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.2%1-18.0%1-26.1%1-33.1%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.3%3-16.6%3-25.0%3-32.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-16.2%4+-24.7%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 25.0% — — —

Over 2.5 72.4% — — —

Over 3.5 51.7% — — —

BTTS 71.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob71.0%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.0%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schwaz2.2

Wals-Grunau1.5

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.4% · O3.5 PROB 51.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHWAZ · PPG 1.75

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Schwaz (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wals-Grunau (A) 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schwaz face Wals-Grunau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schwaz a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Wals-Grunau 25%, so Schwaz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Schwaz and 1.5 for Wals-Grunau (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schwaz are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.42 for Wals-Grunau. This match finished 1-1.

Schwaz vs Wals-Grunau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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