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Lauterach vs Lustenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Lauterach logo
Lauterach
PPG 1.09 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Lustenau logo
Lustenau
PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.4%0-23.1%0-31.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-04.0%1-17.3%1-26.7%1-34.1%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.1%3-15.6%3-25.2%3-33.2%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-15.0%4+-24.6%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 44.5%
Draw 22.7%
Away win 32.8%
Over 2.5 76.1%
Over 3.5 56.5%
BTTS 75.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob75.5%

H 44% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.3%
#2 2–1 7.9%
#3 2–2 7.2%
#4 1–2 6.7%
#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lauterach2.1
Lustenau1.8

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.1% · O3.5 PROB 56.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUTERACH · PPG 1.09

LUSTENAU · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.09), Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Lauterach (H) 44.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Lustenau (A) 32.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lauterach face Lustenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lauterach a 45% chance, the draw 23% and Lustenau 33%, so Lauterach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Lauterach and 1.8 for Lustenau (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lauterach are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 0.83 for Lustenau. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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