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Russia - Premier League logo Russia flag Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 28 Rostec Arena· Kaliningrad Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:30
Baltika logo Baltika PPG 2.00
0-1 HIT CS5
Rubin Kazan logo Rubin Kazan PPG 1.00
Draw· +15.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.8%
Odds: 1.92 EV: -8.2%
Draw 33.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +15.8%
Away 19.1%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -16.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.0% Odds: 2.59 -17.1%
Over 3.5 14.1% Odds: 5.10 -28.1%
BTTS 38.7% Odds: 2.19 -15.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Baltika
1.27
Rubin Kazan
0.72

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=47.8%

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