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Russia - Premier League
Regular Season - 28
Rostec Arena· Kaliningrad
Saturday, May 2, 2026
13:30
Baltika
PPG 2.00
0-1
HIT CS5
Rubin Kazan
PPG 1.00
Draw· +15.8%
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
47.8%
Odds: 1.92
EV: -8.2%
Draw
33.1%
Odds: 3.50
EV: +15.8%
Away
19.1%
Odds: 4.40
EV: -16.0%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
32.0%
Odds: 2.59
-17.1%
Over 3.5
14.1%
Odds: 5.10
-28.1%
BTTS
38.7%
Odds: 2.19
-15.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Baltika
1.27
Rubin Kazan
0.72
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=47.8%