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Kufstein vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:30

Kufstein logo
Kufstein
PPG 0.67 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Reichenau logo
Reichenau
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-110.1%0-26.5%0-32.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.0%1-112.7%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.3%2-18.0%2-25.1%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.6%3-13.4%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 34.2%
Draw 30.6%
Away win 35.2%
Over 2.5 46.6%
Over 3.5 25.0%
BTTS 53.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.6%

D 31% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–0 7.9%
#3 0–1 10.1%
#4 1–2 8.1%
#5 1–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kufstein1.3
Reichenau1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KUFSTEIN · PPG 0.67

REICHENAU · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kufstein (H) 34.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Reichenau (A) 35.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kufstein face Reichenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kufstein a 34% chance, the draw 31% and Reichenau 35%, so Reichenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kufstein and 1.3 for Reichenau (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kufstein are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Reichenau. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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