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Wetschen vs Verden 04 Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 28 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Wetschen

PPG 1.17 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Verden 04

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away POOR (0.92)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.0%0-23.8%0-32.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-04.3%1-18.0%1-27.4%1-34.6%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.7%3-15.1%3-24.8%3-33.0%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-14.0%4+-23.7%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 73.6% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 73.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob73.9%

H 40% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.0%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wetschen2.0

Verden 041.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.6% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WETSCHEN · PPG 1.17

VERDEN 04 · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Wetschen (H) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Verden 04 (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wetschen face Verden 04 in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wetschen a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Verden 04 36%, so Wetschen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Wetschen and 1.9 for Verden 04 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wetschen are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.92 for Verden 04. This match finished 1-1.

Wetschen vs Verden 04 Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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