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Rekord Bielsko vs LKS Lodz B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Rekord Bielsko

PPG 1.27 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

LKS Lodz B

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 57% chance

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.8%0-23.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.1%1-111.4%1-26.5%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.6%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.7%3-15.4%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.3%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 60.6% 1.65 -20.3%

Draw 27.6% 27.8% 3.60 -0.6%

Away win 24.1% 23.8% 4.20 +1.2%

Over 2.5 53.4% 60.6% 1.65 -11.9%

Over 3.5 31.1% — — —

BTTS 56.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 14.9%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob56.9%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 1–0✓ 10.1%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rekord Bielsko1.7

LKS Lodz B1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

REKORD BIELSKO · PPG 1.27

LKS LODZ B · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

57%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Rekord Bielsko (H) 48.3%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -20.3%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -0.6%

LKS Lodz B (A) 24.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rekord Bielsko face LKS Lodz B in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rekord Bielsko a 48% chance, the draw 28% and LKS Lodz B 24%, so Rekord Bielsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rekord Bielsko and 1.1 for LKS Lodz B (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rekord Bielsko are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 0.67 for LKS Lodz B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Rekord Bielsko vs LKS Lodz B Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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