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H. Kralove U19 vs M. Boleslav U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 09:00

H. Kralove U19

PPG 2.09 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

M. Boleslav U19

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.7%0-22.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.6%1-18.3%1-25.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.5%2-19.5%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.7%3-17.2%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-17.0%4+-24.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.8% 59.9% 1.67 -1.8%

Draw 22.1% 26.0% 3.85 -14.9%

Away win 19.2% 26.3% 3.80 -27.0%

Over 2.5 68.8% — — —

Over 3.5 47.3% 48.8% 2.05 -3.0%

BTTS 65.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob65.8%

H 59% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

H. Kralove U192.3

M. Boleslav U191.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.8% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

H. KRALOVE U19 · PPG 2.09

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.09) vs P(Home)=58.8%

Win probability 1X2

H. Kralove U19 (H) 58.8%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -1.8%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -14.9%

M. Boleslav U19 (A) 19.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -27.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

H. Kralove U19 face M. Boleslav U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives H. Kralove U19 a 59% chance, the draw 22% and M. Boleslav U19 19%, so H. Kralove U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for H. Kralove U19 and 1.3 for M. Boleslav U19 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, H. Kralove U19 are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.91 for M. Boleslav U19. This match finished 2-1.

H. Kralove U19 vs M. Boleslav U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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