Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 30 Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski Monday, April 27, 2026 16:00

Ruch Chorzow PPG 1.80

2-2 HIT CS4

Pogon Grodzisk PPG 1.15

Away· +9.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ruch Chorzow face Pogon Grodzisk in Poland - I Liga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ruch Chorzow a 42% chance, the draw 29% and Pogon Grodzisk 29%, so Ruch Chorzow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ruch Chorzow and 1.5 for Pogon Grodzisk (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ruch Chorzow are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.15 for Pogon Grodzisk. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -28.3%

Draw 29.1%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +9.1%

Away 28.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +9.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.60 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✔

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ruch Chorzow

1.79

Pogon Grodzisk

1.49

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

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Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)