Bahrain - Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Monday, April 27, 202616:00
KhalidiyaPPG 2.00
2-1HIT CS4
Al-HiddPPG 1.56
Away· +45.2%✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home56.6%
Odds: 1.30EV: -26.4%
Draw27.7%
Odds: 4.50EV: +24.6%
Away15.7%
Odds: 9.25EV: +45.2%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.550.6%Odds: 1.70-14.0%
Over 3.527.2%Odds: 2.75-25.2%
BTTS49.5%Odds: 2.00-1.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✘
2nd1-0✘
3rd1-1✘
4th2-1✔
5th3-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Khalidiya
1.96
Al-Hidd
0.68
Model Suggestion
Home-26.4%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -26.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+45.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.56)