Spartak Trnava vs S. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Slovakia - Super Liga Championship Group - 7 City Arena Trnava· Trnava Sunday, April 26, 2026 17:00

Spartak Trnava PPG 2.00

0-1 MISS

S. Bratislava PPG 2.21

Over3.5· +8.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Spartak Trnava face S. Bratislava in Slovakia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spartak Trnava a 37% chance, the draw 30% and S. Bratislava 33%, so Spartak Trnava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Spartak Trnava and 1.7 for S. Bratislava (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spartak Trnava are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.21 for S. Bratislava. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +7.4%

Draw 29.7%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +5.4%

Away 33.0%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -28.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.67 -1.5%

Over 3.5 41.1% Odds: 2.65 +8.9%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.53 -10.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Spartak Trnava

1.56

S. Bratislava

1.70

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+8.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.21)