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Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 15:00

Odra Opole

PPG 1.64 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Polonia Bytom

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-111.7%0-26.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.3%1-113.2%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.4%2-17.5%2-24.4%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.4%3-12.8%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 43.5% 2.30 -17.0%

Draw 31.8% 33.3% 3.00 -4.6%

Away win 32.1% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 20.1% — — —

BTTS 52.6% 57.1% 1.75 -8.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.0%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odra Opole1.1

Polonia Bytom1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.64

POLONIA BYTOM · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Odra Opole (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.0%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -4.6%

Polonia Bytom (A) 32.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odra Opole face Polonia Bytom in Poland - I Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odra Opole a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Polonia Bytom 32%, so Odra Opole are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Odra Opole and 1.2 for Polonia Bytom (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odra Opole are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.00 for Polonia Bytom. This match finished 0-2.

Odra Opole vs Polonia Bytom Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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