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BSC Young Boys vs St. Gallen Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Championship Group · Matchday 34 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:30

BSC Young Boys

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

St. Gallen

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 68% chance

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.7%0-24.6%0-33.7%0-4+4.1%1 1-02.6%1-16.5%1-27.9%1-36.5%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-26.9%2-35.6%2-4+6.1%3 3-01.3%3-13.3%3-24.0%3-33.3%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.6%4+-32.1%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.8% 46.5% 2.15 -38.1%

Draw 24.8% 25.3% 3.95 -2.0%

Away win 46.4% 35.1% 2.85 +32.2%

Over 2.5 61.2% 71.4% 1.40 -14.3%

Over 3.5 60.2% 50.0% 2.00 +20.4%

BTTS 58.5% 74.1% 1.35 -21.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -5.5%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob58.5%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 7.9%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSC Young Boys1.7

St. Gallen2.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 60.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BSC YOUNG BOYS · PPG 1.75

ST. GALLEN · PPG 1.75

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

68%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

BSC Young Boys (H) 28.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -38.1%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -2.0%

St. Gallen (A) 46.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +32.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

BSC Young Boys face St. Gallen in Switzerland - Super League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSC Young Boys a 29% chance, the draw 25% and St. Gallen 46%, so St. Gallen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for BSC Young Boys and 2.4 for St. Gallen (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSC Young Boys are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.75 for St. Gallen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +32.2%. This match finished 1-2.

BSC Young Boys vs St. Gallen Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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