Sakaryaspor vs Corum Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu· Adapazari Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Sakaryaspor PPG 1.22

0-4 MISS

Corum PPG 1.50

Home· +152.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sakaryaspor face Corum in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sakaryaspor a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Corum 45%, so Corum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sakaryaspor and 1.9 for Corum (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sakaryaspor are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.50 for Corum. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +152.5%. This match finished 0-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%

Odds: 9.25 EV: +152.5%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +26.9%

Away 44.5%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -42.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.70 +0.3%

Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 2.70 -0.1%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 2.00 +17.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sakaryaspor

1.18

Corum

1.90

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +0.3% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+152.5%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away GOOD (1.50)