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Bersenbruck vs Wetschen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Bersenbruck

PPG 1.58 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Wetschen

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.8%0-21.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-01.1%1-12.7%1-23.2%1-32.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-01.9%2-14.4%2-25.3%2-34.2%2-4+4.3%3 3-02.1%3-14.9%3-25.8%3-34.6%3-4+4.8%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-19.3%4+-211.0%4+-38.7%4+-4+9.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 81.8% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob65.5%

H 49% / xG 3.3-2.4 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.8%

#2 2–2 5.3%

#3 3–1 4.9%

#4 4–2 4.8%

#5 3–3 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bersenbruck3.3

Wetschen2.4

COMBINED 5.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 81.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BERSENBRUCK · PPG 1.58

WETSCHEN · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=48.8%

Win probability 1X2

Bersenbruck (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wetschen (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bersenbruck face Wetschen in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bersenbruck a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Wetschen 29%, so Bersenbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Bersenbruck and 2.4 for Wetschen (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bersenbruck are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.45 for Wetschen. This match finished 4-3.

Bersenbruck vs Wetschen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Match Preview & Prediction

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