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Russia - Premier League
Regular Season - 25
Rostov Arena· Rostov
Friday, April 17, 2026
16:30
Rostov
PPG 1.17
0-1
MISS
PFC Sochi
PPG 0.58
Away· +114.3%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
41.9%
Odds: 1.48
EV: -38.0%
Draw
29.8%
Odds: 4.40
EV: +31.1%
Away
28.2%
Odds: 7.60
EV: +114.3%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
34.2%
Odds: 2.05
-29.9%
Over 3.5
15.6%
Odds: 3.58
-44.1%
BTTS
40.9%
Odds: 2.17
-11.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
0-1
✔
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rostov
1.17
PFC Sochi
0.90
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.58)