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Kitzbuhel vs Bischofshofen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 26 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Kitzbuhel

PPG 1.27 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bischofshofen

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-110.2%0-29.5%0-35.9%0-4+4.2%1 1-05.7%1-110.6%1-29.9%1-36.2%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.0%2-15.5%2-25.2%2-33.2%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.9%3-21.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.7% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 45.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.5%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.9 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.5%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kitzbuhel1.0

Bischofshofen1.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KITZBUHEL · PPG 1.27

BISCHOFSHOFEN · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Kitzbuhel (H) 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bischofshofen (A) 45.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kitzbuhel face Bischofshofen in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kitzbuhel a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Bischofshofen 46%, so Bischofshofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kitzbuhel and 1.9 for Bischofshofen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kitzbuhel are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.33 for Bischofshofen. This match finished 2-0.

Kitzbuhel vs Bischofshofen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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