Unia Skierniewi vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 29 Stadion Miejski· Skierniewice Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:30

Unia Skierniewi PPG 1.93

2-0 HIT CS5

Sokol Kleczew PPG 1.08

Away· +59.3% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Unia Skierniewi face Sokol Kleczew in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Unia Skierniewi a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Sokol Kleczew 26%, so Unia Skierniewi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Unia Skierniewi and 1.5 for Sokol Kleczew (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Unia Skierniewi are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.08 for Sokol Kleczew. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +59.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.1%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -29.9%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -0.8%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 6.20 EV: +59.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.2% Odds: 1.50 -8.2%

Over 3.5 58.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Unia Skierniewi

2.56

Sokol Kleczew

1.52

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=50.1%