FC Basel vs Sion Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Switzerland - Super League Championship Group - 34 St. Jakob-Park· Basel Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00

FC Basel PPG 1.69

0-2 MISS

Sion PPG 1.38

Draw· +0.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Basel face Sion in Switzerland - Super League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Basel a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Sion 36%, so Sion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for FC Basel and 1.5 for Sion (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Basel are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.38 for Sion. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -14.5%

Draw 29.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +0.6%

Away 35.5%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -11.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Basel

1.23

Sion

1.46

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)