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T. Potsdam W vs Warbeyen W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 23 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

T. Potsdam W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Warbeyen W

PPG 0.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.4%0-20.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.7%1-14.6%1-22.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.9%2-17.4%2-24.6%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.4%3-18.0%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-114.4%4+-29.0%4+-33.8%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 16.7% — — —

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 65.4% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.5%

H 61% / xG 3.2-1.3 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 7.4%

#3 4–1 6.4%

#4 3–0✓ 6.4%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Potsdam W3.2

Warbeyen W1.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 65.4%

Form & verdict PPG

T. POTSDAM W · PPG 1.30

WARBEYEN W · PPG 0.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.30) vs P(Home)=60.9%

Win probability 1X2

T. Potsdam W (H) 60.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Warbeyen W (A) 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Potsdam W face Warbeyen W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Potsdam W a 61% chance, the draw 22% and Warbeyen W 17%, so T. Potsdam W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for T. Potsdam W and 1.3 for Warbeyen W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Potsdam W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.27 for Warbeyen W. This match finished 3-0.

T. Potsdam W vs Warbeyen W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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