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Sand W vs FC Bayern B W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 23 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Sand W

PPG 2.55 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

FC Bayern B W

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.55), Away AVERAGE (1.20) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.0%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.8%1-13.7%1-21.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.8%2-16.6%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.1%3-17.8%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-018.2%4+-117.6%4+-28.5%4+-32.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.2% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 9.2% — — —

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 66.5% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.5%

H 70% / xG 3.6-1.0 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.1%

#2 3–1 7.8%

#3 4–0 7.2%

#4 4–1 7.0%

#5 2–0✓ 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sand W3.6

FC Bayern B W1.0

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 66.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SAND W · PPG 2.55

FC BAYERN B W · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.55), Away AVERAGE (1.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sand W (H) 70.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Bayern B W (A) 9.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sand W face FC Bayern B W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sand W a 70% chance, the draw 21% and FC Bayern B W 9%, so Sand W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Sand W and 1.0 for FC Bayern B W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sand W are averaging 2.55 points per game versus 1.20 for FC Bayern B W. This match finished 2-0.

Sand W vs FC Bayern B W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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