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Stuttgart W vs Meppen W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 23 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 09:00

Stuttgart W

PPG 2.36 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Meppen W

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.2%0-25.0%0-33.9%0-4+4.0%1 1-03.0%1-17.0%1-28.3%1-36.5%1-4+6.6%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-26.9%2-35.4%2-4+5.5%3 3-01.4%3-13.3%3-23.8%3-33.0%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-12.0%4+-22.3%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.8% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 46.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 57.0% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob58.5%

A 46% / xG 1.7-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stuttgart W1.7

Meppen W2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 57.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STUTTGART W · PPG 2.36

MEPPEN W · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.36) > Away GOOD (1.91)

Win probability 1X2

Stuttgart W (H) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Meppen W (A) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stuttgart W face Meppen W in Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stuttgart W a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Meppen W 46%, so Meppen W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Stuttgart W and 2.3 for Meppen W (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stuttgart W are averaging 2.36 points per game versus 1.91 for Meppen W. This match finished 2-0.

Stuttgart W vs Meppen W Prediction— Germany - 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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