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Portugal - Primeira Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 31 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques· Guimarães Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:30
Guimaraes logo Guimaraes PPG 1.67
2-0 HIT CS2
Rio Ave logo Rio Ave PPG 1.33
Home· +17.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.6%
Odds: 1.90 EV: +17.0%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -25.1%
Away 17.3%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -34.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.3% Odds: 1.83 +3.0%
Over 3.5 33.9% Odds: 3.10 +5.1%
BTTS 52.9% Odds: 1.70 -10.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✔
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Guimaraes
1.99
Rio Ave
0.95

Model Suggestion

Home +17.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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