FC Twente vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 31 De Grolsch Veste· Enschede Saturday, April 25, 2026 19:00

FC Twente PPG 1.87

1-1 HIT CS2

NEC Nijmegen PPG 1.73

Away· +16.1% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Twente face NEC Nijmegen in Netherlands - Eredivisie on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Twente a 50% chance, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 29%, so FC Twente are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC Twente and 1.6 for NEC Nijmegen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Twente are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.73 for NEC Nijmegen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%

Odds: 1.72 EV: -14.5%

Draw 20.9%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -12.2%

Away 29.4%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +16.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.9% Odds: 1.42 +2.1%

Over 3.5 51.2% Odds: 2.10 +7.5%

BTTS 70.4% Odds: 1.42 -0.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Twente

2.12

NEC Nijmegen

1.61

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +2.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+16.1%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.87), Away GOOD (1.73)