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DAC Streda vs Zilina Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:30

DAC Streda

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zilina

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 60.4% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.4%0-24.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.1%1-110.9%1-27.3%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.9%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.9%3-15.2%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.3%4+-22.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 52.4% 1.91 -12.3%

Draw 23.7% 29.0% 3.45 -18.2%

Away win 30.4% 27.8% 3.60 +9.4%

Over 2.5 58.6% 57.1% 1.75 +2.5%

Over 3.5 36.2% 35.1% 2.85 +3.2%

BTTS 60.4% 62.5% 1.60 -3.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.4%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 8.1%

#4 1–2 7.3%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DAC Streda1.7

Zilina1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DAC STREDA · PPG 1.93

ZILINA · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

62%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

DAC Streda (H) 45.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -12.3%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -18.2%

Zilina (A) 30.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

DAC Streda face Zilina in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DAC Streda a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Zilina 30%, so DAC Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for DAC Streda and 1.3 for Zilina (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DAC Streda are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.57 for Zilina. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 3-1.

DAC Streda vs Zilina Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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